Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000571 0.000649 0.000732 0.000826 0.000929 0.001039 0.001165
2026-01-25 0.000456 0.000564 0.000687 0.000836 0.001010 0.001205 0.001440
2026-02-01 0.000389 0.000511 0.000655 0.000836 0.001056 0.001313 0.001632
2026-02-08 0.000326 0.000452 0.000608 0.000811 0.001066 0.001373 0.001765
2026-02-15 0.000278 0.000406 0.000570 0.000791 0.001076 0.001428 0.001889
2026-02-22 0.000246 0.000376 0.000547 0.000786 0.001103 0.001502 0.002036
2026-03-01 0.000220 0.000351 0.000529 0.000784 0.001131 0.001577 0.002184
2026-03-08 0.000195 0.000324 0.000507 0.000774 0.001145 0.001633 0.002308
2026-03-15 0.000172 0.000299 0.000484 0.000761 0.001154 0.001680 0.002420
2026-03-22 0.000162 0.000292 0.000485 0.000781 0.001208 0.001788 0.002616
2026-03-29 0.000150 0.000281 0.000480 0.000792 0.001250 0.001880 0.002791
2026-04-05 0.000136 0.000263 0.000464 0.000784 0.001264 0.001934 0.002914
2026-04-12 0.000122 0.000247 0.000447 0.000776 0.001277 0.001987 0.003039
2026-04-19 0.000113 0.000237 0.000442 0.000783 0.001313 0.002073 0.003213
2026-04-26 0.000104 0.000226 0.000432 0.000784 0.001338 0.002145 0.003367
2026-05-03 0.000091 0.000206 0.000408 0.000760 0.001324 0.002158 0.003437
2026-05-10 0.000080 0.000190 0.000388 0.000741 0.001317 0.002179 0.003518
2026-05-17 0.000073 0.000180 0.000378 0.000736 0.001331 0.002234 0.003649
2026-05-24 0.000067 0.000171 0.000369 0.000735 0.001350 0.002295 0.003790
2026-05-31 0.000060 0.000161 0.000356 0.000725 0.001355 0.002334 0.003899
2026-06-07 0.000054 0.000150 0.000342 0.000712 0.001355 0.002365 0.003995
2026-06-14 0.000052 0.000149 0.000346 0.000731 0.001407 0.002478 0.004219
2026-06-21 0.000049 0.000145 0.000345 0.000742 0.001445 0.002570 0.004412